Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers v Dallas Cowboys

2026-10-19 00:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

62%

38%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 61.73%1.62fair odd

EV -1.85%

Edge -1.17%

Kelly -3.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

60.35%61.73%61.73%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.551.541.5965.79%64.62%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Cowboys (Visit)

Prediction 38.27%2.61fair odd

EV -0.493%

Edge -0.190%

Kelly -0.308%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.89%38.27%38.27%39.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.422.492.482.6041.32%40.12%40.40%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Green Bay Packers (Local): 61.73%; Dallas Cowboys (Visit): 38.27%. For Dallas Cowboys (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -0.493%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.85%E -1.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -7.38%E -3.05%K -5.20%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.32%E -2.79%K -7.86%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.23%E -2.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-26 00:39
betfred_uk🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.56%E -3.63%K -10.48%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.32%E -1.73%K -2.88%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-12 14:19
Caesars🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.17%E -4.06%K -11.87%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.493%E -0.190%K -0.308%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.12I 89.29%NM 59.86%	1.67I 59.88%NM 40.14%	49.2%	2026-09-13 17:20