The School of Odds

Green Bay Packers v Buffalo Bills

2026-12-14 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Green Bay Packers (Local)

Prediction 52.22%1.92fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.22%52.22%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.831.831.8355%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Buffalo Bills (Visit)

Prediction 47.78%2.09fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.78%47.78%47.78%47.78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.002.002.0050%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.44%E -2.43%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.44%E -2.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 00:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.