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Detroit Lions v Tennessee Titans

2026-12-13 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 75.94%1.32fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -7.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.40%75.94%75.94%77.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.2980.00%78.74%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 24.06%4.16fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +0.803%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%24.06%24.06%25.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.034.3026.67%24.84%24.84%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Lions (Local): 75.94%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 24.06%. For Tennessee Titans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.30, producing a positive expected value of +3.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -5.07%E -4.06%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +3.45%E +0.803%K +1.05%G +0.036%3.3%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.04%E -1.58%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.78%E -2.61%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 16:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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