The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v Tennessee Titans

2026-12-13 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 76.26%1.31fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -8.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.05%76.26%76.26%77.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.2880%79%79%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.481%
Kelly +0.627%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%23.74%23.74%24.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.854.084.084.3026%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -4.67%E -3.74%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV +2.07%E +0.481%K +0.627%G +0.013%3.3%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.38%E -1.86%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -8.61%E -2.24%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.