Detroit Lions v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 66.30%1.51fair odd

EV -4.52%

Edge -3.14%

Kelly -10.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.63%66.30%66.30%66.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.431.441.441.4470%70%70%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd

EV -2.28%

Edge -0.786%

Kelly -1.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.03%33.70%33.70%34.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.752.832.832.9036%35%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.52%E -3.14%K -10.28%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.33%E -2.67%K -4.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 09:58
DraftKings	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.19%E -3.63%K -12.06%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.28%E -0.786%K -1.20%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-30 09:52

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.