The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-22 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Detroit Lions (Local)

1.4369.93%Min
1.4469.69%Mean
1.4469.69%Median
1.4469.44%Max
65.63%1.524Min
66.97%1.493Max
66.30%1.508Mean
66.30%1.508Median
66.30%1.508IQM
66.38%1.506Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 66.30%

EV -4.52%Edge -3.14%Kelly -10.28%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

2.7536.36%Min
2.8335.40%Mean
2.8335.40%Median
2.9034.48%Max
33.03%3.028Min
34.37%2.910Max
33.70%2.968Mean
33.70%2.968Median
33.70%2.968IQM
33.62%2.974Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 33.70%

EV -2.28%Edge -0.786%Kelly -1.20%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDetroit Lions (Local) ▼Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)MarginUpdated
Caesars1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.52% E -3.14% K -10.28% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -7.33% E -2.67% K -4.19% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:58
DraftKings1.43I 69.93% NM 66.97%EV -5.19% E -3.63% K -12.06% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 33.03%EV -2.28% E -0.786% K -1.20% G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 09:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth