The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Lions v Minnesota Vikings

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:02 UTC

Final: Detroit Lions 19–15 Minnesota Vikings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 61.73%1.62fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.765%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%61.71%61.58%63.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.6070.42%64.85%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Vikings (Visit)

Prediction 38.27%2.61fair odd
EV +0.637%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.29%38.42%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.492.502.6346.08%40.19%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Lions (Local): 61.73%; Minnesota Vikings (Visit): 38.27%. For Minnesota Vikings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.637%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +0.637%E +0.242%K +0.391%G +0.002%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV +0.637%E +0.242%K +0.391%G +0.002%3.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV +0.255%E +0.097%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.7%2026-11-01 17:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -0.128%E -0.049%K -0.080%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-01 17:10
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -0.511%E -0.196%K -0.319%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-29 18:43
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.511%E -0.196%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 17:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.511%E -0.196%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 17:59
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.511%E -0.196%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.511%E -0.196%K -0.319%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -2.04%E -0.797%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-01 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.42%E -0.951%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 17:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.42%E -0.951%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.42%E -0.951%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 15:10
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.42%E -0.951%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.02%E -5.38%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.42%E -0.951%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.16%E -4.05%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.19%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -6.16%E -4.05%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -3.19%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.95%E -1.58%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-27 23:00
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 16:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-01 17:25
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 15:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 17:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 15:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 17:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 15:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:59
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 15:10
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.55%E -3.62%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.34%E -1.73%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:00
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.72%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 17:10
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.93%E -3.20%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.72%E -1.90%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-01 15:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.22%E -0.765%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.22%E -0.765%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-29 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.22%E -0.765%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.22%E -0.765%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:09
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.25%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -7.02%E -2.89%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-29 17:00
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -1.84%E -1.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -7.40%E -3.06%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.69%E -2.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.40%E -3.06%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 17:15
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.46%E -1.56%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 17:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.08%E -1.96%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 17:00
picklebet_au🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.31%E -2.78%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.40%E -4.93%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.40%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-01 18:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -6.78%E -4.49%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.08%E -4.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.63%E -5.83%K -17.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.08%E -4.29%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.45%EV -12.34%E -8.69%K -29.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 39.55%EV -16.96%E -7.82%K -14.50%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-29 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68%2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32%0.3%2026-11-01 17:50
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-11-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-11-01 17:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-11-01 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-11-01 18:00
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-31 08:20
Polymarket◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%1.8%2026-11-01 18:00
BetOpenly◎1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-11-01 17:40