The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v Green Bay Packers

2026-10-25 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 54.96%1.82fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%54.96%54.96%56.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.751.8059%57%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 45.04%2.22fair odd
EV -0.454%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.33%45.04%45.04%46.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.132.2149%47%47%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.08%E -0.599%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.66%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 00:19
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.12%E -4.21%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -0.454%E -0.206%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.