The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Lions v Green Bay Packers

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 20:25 UTC

Final: Detroit Lions 20–17 Green Bay Packers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 64.60%1.55fair odd
EV -0.520%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.962%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.32%64.65%64.50%66.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.481.5470.92%67.41%67.34%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 35.40%2.82fair odd
EV +1.25%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.673%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%35.35%35.50%38.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.652.652.8642.92%37.75%37.74%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Lions (Local): 64.60%; Green Bay Packers (Visit): 35.40%. For Green Bay Packers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -8.92%E -6.32%K -21.75%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV +1.25%E +0.437%K +0.673%G +0.008%5.9%2026-10-25 20:24
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +0.897%E +0.315%K +0.485%G +0.004%5.0%2026-10-25 20:24
Coolbet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.97%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-25 20:24
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.75%E -2.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 20:20
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 20:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 20:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 20:24
BetAnything🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 20:20
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 20:23
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.27%E -5.82%K -19.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.873%E -0.312%K -0.485%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 20:15
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -3.75%E -2.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -1.23%E -0.440%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-25 20:16
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 20:15
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 20:11
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:15
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:16
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:15
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:16
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.64%E -0.961%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:14
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -3.75%E -2.52%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -4.06%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-25 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 20:24
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 20:04
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 20:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:24
betfred_uk🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.40%E -2.97%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.69%E -3.90%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 20:15
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 20:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.17%E -0.762%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 19:35
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 18:03
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:06
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:24
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.10%E -2.07%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 18:03
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 20:20
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -1.17%E -0.762%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -8.66%E -3.36%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 20:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -7.63%E -5.33%K -17.73%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -9.02%E -3.51%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-25 20:24
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -9.37%E -3.66%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:24
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -1.81%E -1.19%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.33%E -4.37%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-25 20:24
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -6.98%E -4.85%K -15.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 20:24
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-25 20:16
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.520%E -0.337%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.520%E -0.337%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.520%E -0.337%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.520%E -0.337%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:24
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -0.520%E -0.337%K -0.962%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 20:24
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -2.46%E -1.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -15.03%E -6.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 20:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -5.04%E -3.43%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.68%EV -17.51%E -7.52%K -13.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-25 20:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%0.3%2026-10-25 20:20
Matchbook◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-10-25 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-10-25 20:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-10-25 20:20
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-25 20:16
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-10-25 20:24
Polymarket◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-25 20:24
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-10-25 20:25
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-10-25 20:24
BetOpenly◎1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%6.9%2026-10-25 20:24