Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Lions v Chicago Bears

2026-11-26 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

56%

44%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd

EV -2.77%

Edge -1.58%

Kelly -3.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.83%56.26%55.28%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.581.701.731.7563.29%58.79%57.80%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd

EV +6.66%

Edge +2.77%

Kelly +4.75%

Growth +0.316%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.70%43.74%44.72%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.082.162.142.4048.08%46.32%46.73%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Detroit Lions (Local): 55.56%; Chicago Bears (Visit): 44.44%. For Chicago Bears (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.40, producing a positive expected value of +6.66%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -12.22%E -7.73%K -21.06%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +6.66%E +2.77%K +4.75%G +0.316%	5.0%	2026-06-22 22:37
DraftKings🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.55%E -3.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.23%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-29 04:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.33%E -1.91%K -4.49%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.77%E -1.58%K -3.69%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.90%E -2.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-22 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.90%E -2.29%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.79%E -2.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.88%E -2.24%K -5.32%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-14 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.55%E -3.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.68%E -3.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-29 04:29
LeoVegas🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.33%E -5.05%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -7.57%E -3.64%K -7.00%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-07 21:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%	2.06I 48.54%NM 44.77%	8.4%	2026-07-29 04:30

Arbitrage (5 combinations) +1.20%FanDuel 1.75 (57.8%) / Caesars 2.40 (42.2%)Show all 5 combinations

Detroit Lions (Local)	Chicago Bears (Visit)	Margin
FanDuel🎯 1.75 (57.8%)	Caesars🎯 2.40 (42.2%)	+1.20%
theScore Bet🎯 1.74 (58.0%)	Caesars🎯 2.40 (42.0%)	+0.870%
Unibet (UK)🎯 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars🎯 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
SportsBet🎯 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars🎯 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
Paddy Power🎯 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars🎯 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%