The School of Odds

Detroit Lions v Chicago Bears

2026-11-26 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Lions (Local)

Prediction 55.29%1.81fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%55.91%55.27%60.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.581.711.731.7563%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV +7.31%
Edge +3.05%
Kelly +5.22%
Growth +0.382%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%44.09%44.73%45.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.4049%47%47%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -12.65%E -8.00%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +7.31%E +3.05%K +5.22%G +0.382%5.0%2026-06-22 22:37
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.91%E -2.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.46%E -3.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.87%E -1.80%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.25%E -1.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.31%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:40
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.80%E -2.18%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.31%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.31%E -2.02%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.21%E -2.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.35%E -2.52%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.10%E -2.91%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-14 17:40
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.67%E -4.59%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.00%E -3.36%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:30
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.01%E -3.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.34%E -4.07%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 22:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%8.5%2026-06-22 22:39
Arbitrage (10 combinations) +1.20%FanDuel 1.75 (57.8%) / Caesars 2.40 (42.2%)Show all 10 combinations
Detroit Lions (Local)Chicago Bears (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.75 (57.8%)Caesars 2.40 (42.2%)+1.20%
theScore Bet 1.74 (58.0%)Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)+0.870%
DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%)Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)+0.870%
Ladbrokes (UK) 1.73 (58.1%)Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)+0.533%
Coral 1.73 (58.1%)Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)+0.533%
Unibet (UK) 1.73 (58.1%)Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)+0.533%
SportsBet 1.73 (58.1%)Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)+0.533%
Paddy Power 1.73 (58.1%)Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)+0.533%
Neds 1.72 (58.3%)Caesars 2.40 (41.7%)+0.194%
Ladbrokes (AU) 1.72 (58.3%)Caesars 2.40 (41.7%)+0.194%