Detroit Lions v Chicago Bears

2026-11-26 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Detroit Lions (Local)

Odds

1.5863.29%Min

1.7258.27%Mean

1.7357.80%Median

1.7557.14%Max

Consensus probabilities

54.67%1.829Min

60.30%1.658Max

55.91%1.788Mean

55.27%1.809Median

55.29%1.809IQM

55.90%1.789Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 55.29%

EV -3.25%Edge -1.86%Kelly -4.33%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago Bears (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.1546.45%Mean

2.1546.51%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.70%2.519Min

45.33%2.206Max

44.09%2.268Mean

44.73%2.236Median

44.71%2.236IQM

44.10%2.268Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 44.71%

EV +7.31%Edge +3.05%Kelly +5.22%Growth +0.382%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Detroit Lions (Local)	Chicago Bears (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -12.65% E -8.00% K -21.80% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV +7.31% E +3.05% K +5.22% G +0.382%	5.0%	2026-06-22 22:37
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -3.80% E -2.18% K -5.14% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.35% E -2.52% K -5.96% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:40
Coral	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.35% E -2.52% K -5.96% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:39
Neds	1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.91% E -2.85% K -6.81% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -4.91% E -2.85% K -6.81% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.46% E -3.19% K -7.69% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.87% E -1.80% K -3.36% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.25% E -1.86% K -4.33% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -4.31% E -2.02% K -3.78% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-22 22:40
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -3.80% E -2.18% K -5.14% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -4.31% E -2.02% K -3.78% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-14 17:40
Unibet (UK)	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.30%EV -4.35% E -2.52% K -5.96% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.70%EV -4.31% E -2.02% K -3.78% G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet	1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.35% E -2.52% K -5.96% G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -5.21% E -2.46% K -4.65% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.35% E -2.52% K -5.96% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.10% E -2.91% K -5.55% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-14 17:40
Betclic (FR)	1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -6.01% E -3.54% K -8.59% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -8.34% E -4.07% K -7.94% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-22 22:38

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Detroit Lions (Local)	Chicago Bears (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.68I 59.52%	2.04I 49.02%	8.5%	2026-06-22 22:39

Arbitrage (10 combinations)+1.20%FanDuel 1.75 (57.8%) / Caesars 2.40 (42.2%)Show all 10 combinations

Detroit Lions (Local)	Chicago Bears (Visit)	Margin
FanDuel 1.75 (57.8%)	Caesars 2.40 (42.2%)	+1.20%
theScore Bet 1.74 (58.0%)	Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)	+0.870%
DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%)	Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)	+0.870%
Ladbrokes (UK) 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
Coral 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
Unibet (UK) 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
SportsBet 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
Paddy Power 1.73 (58.1%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.9%)	+0.533%
Neds 1.72 (58.3%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.7%)	+0.194%
Ladbrokes (AU) 1.72 (58.3%)	Caesars 2.40 (41.7%)	+0.194%