The School of Odds

Denver Broncos v Seattle Seahawks

2026-10-16 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Denver Broncos (Local)

1.9451.55%Min
2.0249.50%Mean
2.0249.50%Median
2.1047.62%Max
45.74%2.186Min
48.13%2.078Max
46.93%2.131Mean
46.93%2.131Median
46.93%2.131IQM
46.66%2.143Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 46.93%

EV -1.44%Edge -0.687%Kelly -1.31%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Seattle Seahawks (Visit)

1.7756.50%Min
1.7956.02%Mean
1.7956.02%Median
1.8055.56%Max
51.87%1.928Min
54.26%1.843Max
53.07%1.884Mean
53.07%1.884Median
53.07%1.884IQM
53.34%1.875Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 53.07%

EV -4.48%Edge -2.49%Kelly -5.60%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDenver Broncos (Local) ▼Seattle Seahawks (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -1.44% E -0.687% K -1.31% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -6.07% E -3.43% K -7.88% G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 00:19
Caesars1.94I 51.55% NM 48.13%EV -8.95% E -4.61% K -9.52% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 51.87%EV -4.48% E -2.49% K -5.60% G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 22:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth