The School of Odds

Denver Broncos v Miami Dolphins

2026-12-06 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Denver Broncos (Local)

1.2083.33%Min
1.2182.64%Mean
1.2182.64%Median
1.2281.97%Max
78.67%1.271Min
79.66%1.255Max
79.17%1.263Mean
79.17%1.263Median
79.17%1.263IQM
79.15%1.263Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.22 under the IQM model: 79.17%

EV -3.42%Edge -2.80%Kelly -15.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Dolphins (Visit)

4.5022.22%Min
4.6021.74%Mean
4.6021.74%Median
4.7021.28%Max
20.34%4.917Min
21.33%4.689Max
20.83%4.800Mean
20.83%4.800Median
20.83%4.800IQM
20.85%4.795Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.70 under the IQM model: 20.83%

EV -2.08%Edge -0.443%Kelly -0.562%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDenver Broncos (Local) ▼Miami Dolphins (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.22I 81.97% NM 78.67%EV -3.42% E -2.80% K -15.53% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.33%EV -6.25% E -1.39% K -1.79% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.20I 83.33% NM 79.66%EV -5.00% E -4.17% K -25.00% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 20.34%EV -2.08% E -0.443% K -0.562% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth