Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Broncos v Miami Dolphins

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 79.42%1.26fair odd

EV -3.90%

Edge -3.23%

Kelly -18.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.17%79.42%79.42%79.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.211.211.2183.33%82.99%82.99%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 20.58%4.86fair odd

EV -3.26%

Edge -0.694%

Kelly -0.882%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.34%20.58%20.58%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.604.654.654.7021.74%21.51%21.51%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Denver Broncos (Local): 79.42%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 20.58%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.70, with an expected value of -3.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.90%E -3.23%K -18.59%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.32%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-07 23:40
Caesars🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -4.70%E -3.92%K -23.50%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -3.26%E -0.694%K -0.882%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.