Denver Broncos v Los Angeles Rams

2026-09-28 00:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 41.06%2.44fair odd

EV -3.50%

Edge -1.49%

Kelly -2.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.36%41.06%41.06%41.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.302.332.332.3543%43%43%43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Prediction 58.94%1.70fair odd

EV -2.76%

Edge -1.67%

Kelly -4.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%58.94%58.94%59.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.591.621.621.6563%62%62%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.50%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.29%E -3.96%K -10.66%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-01 17:50
DraftKings	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-24 21:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.