Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.03
assuming max odds 1.96
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Broncos (Local): 49.31%; Los Angeles Rams (Visit): 50.69%. For Denver Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.028. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.030, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.091%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV +0.091%E +0.045%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-28 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-27 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.39%E -0.694%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-27 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.87%E -1.46%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 22:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -3.36%E -1.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 23:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.20%E -2.78%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-27 22:27 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.85%E -1.98%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.639%E -0.326%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-28 00:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-28 00:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 22:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.35%E -2.24%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.67%E -1.39%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.69%E -2.50%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.84%E -2.51%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.22%E -3.36%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 00:08 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.33%E -2.78%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 22:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.19%E -2.22%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.71%E -3.07%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.83%E -3.05%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.75%E -4.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.68%E -1.94%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.32%E -3.33%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -7.23%E -3.95%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -6.81%E -3.60%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -1.15%E -0.588%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -7.31%E -3.89%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -1.65%E -0.852%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.80%E -4.17%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.17%E -1.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-28 00:18 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.78%E -4.75%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.74%E -4.25%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-28 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.28%EV -13.71%E -7.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.82%E -8.13%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-09-27 22:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-28 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-09-28 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25% | 1.5% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 2.6% | 2026-09-28 00:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03% | 3.1% | 2026-09-28 00:19 |