Denver Broncos v Los Angeles Rams

2026-09-28 00:20 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Denver Broncos (Local)

Odds

2.3043.48%Min

2.3343.01%Mean

2.3343.01%Median

2.3542.55%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.36%2.478Min

41.77%2.394Max

41.06%2.435Mean

41.06%2.435Median

41.06%2.435IQM

41.15%2.430Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 41.06%

EV -3.50%Edge -1.49%Kelly -2.59%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Los Angeles Rams (Visit)

Odds

1.5962.89%Min

1.6261.73%Mean

1.6261.73%Median

1.6560.61%Max

Consensus probabilities

58.23%1.717Min

59.64%1.677Max

58.94%1.697Mean

58.94%1.697Median

58.94%1.697IQM

58.85%1.699Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 58.94%

EV -2.76%Edge -1.67%Kelly -4.24%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Denver Broncos (Local) ▼	Los Angeles Rams (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Caesars	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -3.50% E -1.49% K -2.59% G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -6.29% E -3.96% K -10.66% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-01 17:50
DraftKings	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.55% E -2.41% K -4.27% G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -2.76% E -1.67% K -4.24% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-01 17:28
Bet Right	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -9.66% E -4.39% K -8.05% G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -0.987% E -0.588% K -1.45% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-26 02:11

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth