The School of Odds

Denver Broncos v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-11-22 21:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Denver Broncos (Local)

1.2281.97%Min
1.2381.30%Mean
1.2381.30%Median
1.2480.65%Max
77.49%1.290Min
77.62%1.288Max
77.55%1.289Mean
77.55%1.289Median
77.55%1.289IQM
77.56%1.289Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.24 under the IQM model: 77.55%

EV -3.83%Edge -3.09%Kelly -15.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

4.2023.81%Min
4.2523.53%Mean
4.2523.53%Median
4.3023.26%Max
22.38%4.468Min
22.51%4.443Max
22.45%4.455Mean
22.45%4.455Median
22.45%4.455IQM
22.44%4.457Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.45%

EV -3.48%Edge -0.810%Kelly -1.06%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDenver Broncos (Local) ▼Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.24I 80.65% NM 77.62%EV -3.83% E -3.09% K -15.97% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.38%EV -3.48% E -0.810% K -1.06% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-30 09:52
Caesars1.22I 81.97% NM 77.49%EV -5.38% E -4.41% K -24.47% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.51%EV -5.73% E -1.36% K -1.79% G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth