Denver Broncos v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-11-22 21:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

78%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 77.55%1.29fair odd

EV -3.83%

Edge -3.09%

Kelly -15.97%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.49%77.55%77.55%77.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.221.231.231.2482%81%81%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 22.45%4.46fair odd

EV -3.48%

Edge -0.810%

Kelly -1.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.38%22.45%22.45%22.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.204.254.254.3024%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.83%E -3.09%K -15.97%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -3.48%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-30 09:52
Caesars	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.38%E -4.41%K -24.47%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.73%E -1.36%K -1.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 09:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.