The School of Odds

Denver Broncos v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-11-01 21:25 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Denver Broncos (Local)

1.8554.05%Min
1.8653.76%Mean
1.8653.76%Median
1.8753.48%Max
50.00%2.000Min
51.70%1.934Max
50.85%1.967Mean
50.85%1.967Median
50.85%1.967IQM
51.00%1.961Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 50.85%

EV -4.91%Edge -2.63%Kelly -5.65%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

1.8753.48%Min
1.9351.95%Mean
1.9351.95%Median
1.9850.51%Max
48.30%2.070Min
50.00%2.000Max
49.15%2.035Mean
49.15%2.035Median
49.15%2.035IQM
49.00%2.041Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.98 under the IQM model: 49.15%

EV -2.68%Edge -1.35%Kelly -2.73%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDenver Broncos (Local) ▼Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)MarginUpdated
Caesars1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -4.91% E -2.63% K -5.65% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -8.09% E -4.32% K -9.30% G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -5.93% E -3.21% K -6.98% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -2.68% E -1.35% K -2.73% G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth