The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Denver Broncos v Kansas City Chiefs

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 21:25 UTC

Final: Denver Broncos 28–24 Kansas City Chiefs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 50.01%2.00fair odd
EV +0.022%
Edge +0.011%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%50.00%50.00%51.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.911.912.0056.82%52.32%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 49.99%2.00fair odd
EV -0.022%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.57%50.00%50.00%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.891.902.0059.52%52.80%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Broncos (Local): 50.01%; Kansas City Chiefs (Visit): 49.99%. For Denver Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.9996. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.0000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.022%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.022%E +0.011%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.022%E +0.011%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.022%E +0.011%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV +0.022%E +0.011%K +0.022%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -1.98%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -5.52%E -2.92%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -1.98%E -1.01%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.52%E -0.773%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-01 21:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-01 21:15
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 21:15
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 20:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.48%E -1.27%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 20:20
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.02%E -1.56%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 21:15
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 21:14
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -2.98%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-01 21:15
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.48%E -1.80%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 02:35
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.98%E -2.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.02%E -2.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -0.022%E -0.011%K -0.022%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 21:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.52%E -1.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 21:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:55
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:35
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.48%E -2.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 12:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 20:55
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 21:15
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.98%E -2.62%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.02%E -2.64%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.48%E -2.90%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.52%E -1.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 20:35
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.48%E -2.90%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.52%E -1.82%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.48%E -2.90%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.02%E -3.20%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 20:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -1.02%E -0.516%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-01 18:09
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 21:10
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.52%E -1.29%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.52%E -2.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 21:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.49%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 21:20
picklebet_au🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.48%E -3.46%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.52%E -4.07%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.48%E -4.04%K -8.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -9.02%E -4.96%K -11.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 20:59
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.52%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 21:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.63%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.52%E -4.66%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 21:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.84%EV -11.98%E -6.81%K -15.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.16%EV -16.02%E -9.53%K -23.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-11-01 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-11-01 21:10
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-11-01 21:20
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-11-01 21:10
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-11-01 20:50
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-11-01 16:10
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.25%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.75%1.5%2026-11-01 21:10
BetOpenly◎1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%3.9%2026-11-01 21:20