Denver Broncos v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-11-01 21:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Denver Broncos (Local)

Prediction 51.11%1.96fair odd

EV -4.42%

Edge -2.37%

Kelly -5.09%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.00%51.11%51.11%52.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.831.851.851.8755%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 48.89%2.05fair odd

EV -2.22%

Edge -1.11%

Kelly -2.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%48.89%48.89%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.871.941.942.0053%52%52%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.42%E -2.37%K -5.09%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.58%E -4.59%K -9.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.47%E -3.54%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.22%E -1.11%K -2.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 13:07

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.