Dallas Cowboys v Washington Commanders

2026-09-20 20:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 63.77%1.57fair odd

EV -3.07%

Edge -2.02%

Kelly -5.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.11%63.77%63.77%64.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.491.501.501.5267%67%67%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Washington Commanders (Visit)

Prediction 36.23%2.76fair odd

EV -2.19%

Edge -0.810%

Kelly -1.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.56%36.23%36.23%36.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.632.602.7038%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.07%E -2.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.63%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 01:44
Betr (AU)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.34%E -2.89%K -8.68%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.81%E -2.23%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-22 20:34
DraftKings	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.98%E -3.34%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.19%E -0.810%K -1.29%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-06 11:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.