Language:English
Dallas Cowboys v Washington Commanders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Cowboys (Local)
Prediction 65.18%1.53fair odd
EV +2.99%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +5.16%
Growth +0.154%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.79%64.92%65.06%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.471.471.5873.53%68.03%68.03%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Commanders (Visit)
Prediction 34.82%2.87fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.419%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%35.08%34.94%39.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.702.712.8543.10%37.04%36.90%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 65.18%; Washington Commanders (Visit): 34.82%. For Dallas Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV +2.99%E +1.89%K +5.16%G +0.154% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -14.70%E -6.00%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV +0.384%E +0.249%K +0.711%G +0.003% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV +0.384%E +0.249%K +0.711%G +0.003% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV +0.384%E +0.249%K +0.711%G +0.003% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV +0.384%E +0.249%K +0.711%G +0.003% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -8.43%E -3.21%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -0.268%E -0.175%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.40%EV -0.920%E -0.605%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.60%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -0.920%E -0.605%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -1.57%E -1.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -1.57%E -1.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -1.57%E -1.04%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43%EV -2.88%E -1.93%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57%EV -1.82%E -0.645%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.88%E -1.93%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.88%E -1.93%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-15 17:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 20:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -3.91%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 20:23 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 19:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -3.53%E -2.38%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -9.13%E -3.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -1.82%E -0.645%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.17%E -0.772%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 04:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.18%E -2.84%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -5.65%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.99%EV -4.83%E -3.31%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.01%EV -5.65%E -2.08%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -1.12%E -0.396%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.00%E -2.22%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 18:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.48%E -3.78%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.48%E -3.65%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.775%E -0.272%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -2.17%E -0.772%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 07:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.13%E -4.26%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.26%E -1.55%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.44%E -5.24%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.52%E -0.899%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%EV -7.44%E -5.24%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 20:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.44%E -5.24%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.22%E -4.40%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.74%E -6.24%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.78%E -3.35%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.04%EV -11.35%E -8.35%K -31.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 36.96%EV -19.23%E -8.29%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-09-17 12:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 20:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.4% | 2026-09-20 20:19 |