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Dallas Cowboys v Tennessee Titans

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 72.29%1.38fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.97%72.29%72.29%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.321.321.3577.52%75.76%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV -0.257%
Edge -0.071%
Kelly -0.099%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.71%27.71%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.453.6030.30%28.99%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 72.29%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 27.71%. For Tennessee Titans (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.257%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.40%E -1.78%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -8.57%E -2.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:09
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.74%E -5.23%K -23.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.257%E -0.071%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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