The School of Odds

Dallas Cowboys v Tennessee Titans

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 72.52%1.38fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -8.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%72.52%72.52%73.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.311.3478%76%76%75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 27.48%3.64fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.418%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%27.48%27.48%28.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.483.483.6030%29%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -2.82%E -2.10%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -7.96%E -2.37%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-30 09:52
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.44%E -5.00%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.09%E -0.302%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 09:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.