Language:English
Dallas Cowboys v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Cowboys (Local)
Prediction 80.69%1.24fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -11.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.32%80.47%80.78%83.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.181.181.2194.34%84.85%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)
Prediction 19.31%5.18fair odd
EV +11.03%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.32%
Growth +0.256%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.91%19.53%19.22%21.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.965.005.7523.26%20.16%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 80.69%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 19.31%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +11.03%E +1.92%K +2.32%G +0.256% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +11.03%E +1.92%K +2.32%G +0.256% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +11.03%E +1.92%K +2.32%G +0.256% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91%EV +11.03%E +1.92%K +2.32%G +0.256% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +8.14%E +1.45%K +1.77%G +0.144% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +6.20%E +1.13%K +1.38%G +0.086% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 09:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV +1.38%E +0.262%K +0.324%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 05:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +0.411%E +0.079%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.23%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.77%EV -0.554%E -0.108%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.52%E -0.298%K -0.371%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.05%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.95%EV -1.71%E -0.337%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -2.29%E -0.453%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.96%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 19.04%EV -2.29%E -0.453%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.49%E -0.492%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.45%E -0.690%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.22%EV -4.22%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.78%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.22%EV -4.22%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.42%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.01%EV -6.40%E -5.52%K -40.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.99%EV -4.42%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -5.38%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.38%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 15:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -6.35%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.31%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -7.31%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.31%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 05:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.79%E -4.06%K -26.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.62%EV -8.82%E -7.81%K -67.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 81.60%EV -14.47%E -13.65%K -241.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.40%EV -9.24%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-05 09:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -2.36%E -1.95%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -5.59%E -4.78%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -11.17%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 12:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.17%E -2.64%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -3.98%E -3.34%K -20.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -16.97%E -3.95%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.98% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 17.02% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 06:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53% | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47% | 1.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |