Dallas Cowboys v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-10-09 00:15 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Odds

1.4967.11%Min

1.5066.67%Mean

1.5066.67%Median

1.5166.23%Max

Consensus probabilities

62.34%1.604Min

64.44%1.552Max

63.39%1.577Mean

63.39%1.577Median

63.39%1.577IQM

63.57%1.573Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.51 under the IQM model: 63.39%

EV -4.28%Edge -2.83%Kelly -8.39%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Odds

2.5040.00%Min

2.6038.46%Mean

2.6038.46%Median

2.7037.04%Max

Consensus probabilities

35.56%2.812Min

37.66%2.656Max

36.61%2.732Mean

36.61%2.732Median

36.61%2.732IQM

36.43%2.745Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.70 under the IQM model: 36.61%

EV -1.16%Edge -0.429%Kelly -0.681%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Dallas Cowboys (Local) ▼	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Bet Right	1.51I 66.23% NM 63.26%EV -4.28% E -2.83% K -8.39% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.74%EV -4.82% E -1.85% K -3.01% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-26 02:11
Caesars	1.51I 66.23% NM 62.34%EV -4.28% E -2.83% K -8.39% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.66%EV -8.48% E -3.39% K -5.65% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-15 21:33
DraftKings	1.49I 67.11% NM 64.44%EV -5.55% E -3.72% K -11.32% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.56%EV -1.16% E -0.429% K -0.681% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-30 09:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth