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Dallas Cowboys v San Francisco 49ers

2026-11-15 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.71%52.71%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.791.791.8356.82%55.71%55.71%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.81%47.29%47.29%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.002.002.0050.00%50.00%50.00%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 52.71%; San Francisco 49ers (Visit): 47.29%. For Dallas Cowboys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -3.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.55%E -1.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 21:54
Caesars🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.24%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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