The School of Odds

Dallas Cowboys v New York Giants

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 65.96%1.52fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -8.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%65.96%65.95%66.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.441.431.4670%69%70%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 34.04%2.94fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.04%34.05%34.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.772.792.802.8036%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.70%E -2.54%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-21 08:44
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.68%E -1.67%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:44
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.68%E -3.97%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -5.70%E -2.06%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.