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Dallas Cowboys v New York Giants

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 65.32%1.53fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%65.32%65.32%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.461.461.4969.93%68.49%68.49%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Giants (Visit)

Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.68%34.68%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.752.752.8037.04%36.36%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 65.32%; New York Giants (Visit): 34.68%. For Dallas Cowboys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.49, with an expected value of -2.68%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.68%E -1.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 19:39
Caesars🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.60%E -4.61%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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