The School of Odds

Dallas Cowboys v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-28 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.91%58.97%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.601.6864%62%63%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 41.09%2.43fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.985%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%41.09%41.03%42.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.242.312.302.4045%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -1.03%E -0.616%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -7.95%E -3.55%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.49%E -2.39%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.10%E -5.19%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.38%E -0.574%K -0.985%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.