Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-28 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%59.95%59.95%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6264.10%62.89%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%40.05%40.05%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.382.382.4042.37%42.02%42.02%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 59.95%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit): 40.05%. For Dallas Cowboys (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.