Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys v Baltimore Ravens

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 20:25 UTC

Final: Dallas Cowboys 31–34 Baltimore Ravens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 38.95%2.57fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.261%
Kelly -0.430%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.07%39.00%40.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.84%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 61.05%1.64fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.29%60.93%61.00%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.561.561.6271.43%64.15%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Cowboys (Local): 38.95%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 61.05%. For Dallas Cowboys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.666%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 20:15
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-27 12:22
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:15
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:19
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 20:24
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.666%E -0.261%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 20:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.55%E -2.25%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-27 20:25
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 20:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 20:20
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 20:24
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:20
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:15
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 14:09
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 14:10
Caesars🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.00%E -1.21%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 01:24
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.39%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-27 20:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-27 20:24
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.17%E -1.70%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-27 20:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 19:00
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:25
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.56%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 03:25
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.95%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 20:25
NordicBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -4.95%E -2.03%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 20:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -6.12%E -2.54%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 19:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 20:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.16%E -2.65%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:19
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 20:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 03:09
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.51%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.60%E -4.31%K -12.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-27 20:25
Coolbet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.90%E -2.89%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -4.77%E -3.06%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-27 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.29%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.29%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 20:20
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.29%E -3.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.38%E -3.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-27 20:23
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -7.68%E -3.24%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.24%EV -8.43%E -5.62%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-26 03:10
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -8.07%E -3.42%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -1.11%E -0.683%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 20:25
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -8.46%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:25
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.46%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.99%E -3.89%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-27 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.46%E -3.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.21%E -4.74%K -13.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-27 19:58
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.24%E -3.96%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.24%E -3.96%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.33%E -1.45%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -9.24%E -3.96%K -6.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -2.94%E -1.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 20:22
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -12.35%E -5.49%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -14.54%E -10.38%K -36.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-27 20:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.72%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%0.1%2026-09-27 20:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-27 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-09-27 20:20
ProphetX◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-09-27 20:25
Polymarket◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-27 20:25
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-09-27 20:25
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%1.6%2026-09-27 20:25
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34%1.7%2026-09-27 20:25
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.0%2026-09-27 20:25
BetOpenly◎2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%4.7%2026-09-27 20:20