The School of Odds

Dallas Cowboys v Arizona Cardinals

2026-11-01 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Cowboys (Local)

Prediction 80.45%1.24fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -17.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.00%80.45%80.45%80.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.181.191.191.2085%84%84%83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arizona Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 19.55%5.12fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%19.55%19.55%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.804.904.905.0021%20%20%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.46%E -2.88%K -17.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -6.17%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 01:30
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.07%E -4.29%K -28.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.27%E -0.453%K -0.566%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.