The School of Odds

Cleveland Browns v Las Vegas Raiders

2026-11-29 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 52.89%1.89fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.89%52.89%54.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.791.791.8557%56%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Las Vegas Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 47.11%2.12fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.11%47.11%48.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.982.012.012.0551%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.15%E -1.16%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.73%E -3.40%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.97%E -4.58%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.43%E -1.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.