Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Indianapolis Colts

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 43.46%2.30fair odd

EV -3.95%

Edge -1.79%

Kelly -3.26%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.33%43.46%43.46%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.212.212.2145.45%45.35%45.35%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 56.54%1.77fair odd

EV -3.88%

Edge -2.29%

Kelly -5.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.41%56.54%56.54%56.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.691.691.691.7059.17%59.00%59.00%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 43.46%; Indianapolis Colts (Visit): 56.54%. For Indianapolis Colts (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.70, with an expected value of -3.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -3.95%E -1.79%K -3.26%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -4.45%E -2.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.88%E -2.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-18 02:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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