Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Indianapolis Colts

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 44.09%2.27fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.33%44.09%44.09%44.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.172.172.2146.73%45.98%45.98%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indianapolis Colts (Visit)

Prediction 55.91%1.79fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.15%55.91%55.91%56.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.711.711.7459.17%58.31%58.31%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -2.56%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -5.51%E -3.26%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.65%E -2.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.72%E -1.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 04:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.