The School of Odds

Cleveland Browns v Houston Texans

2026-11-15 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Cleveland Browns (Local)

2.6038.46%Min
2.7836.04%Mean
2.7836.04%Median
2.9533.90%Max
32.49%3.077Min
36.27%2.757Max
34.38%2.908Mean
34.38%2.908Median
34.38%2.908IQM
34.12%2.931Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 34.38%

EV +1.43%Edge +0.486%Kelly +0.735%Growth +0.011%

Option 2: Houston Texans (Visit)

1.4270.42%Min
1.4568.97%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.4867.57%Max
63.73%1.569Min
67.51%1.481Max
65.62%1.524Mean
65.62%1.524Median
65.62%1.524IQM
65.88%1.518Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.48 under the IQM model: 65.62%

EV -2.89%Edge -1.95%Kelly -6.02%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCleveland Browns (Local) ▼Houston Texans (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings2.95I 33.90% NM 32.49%EV +1.43% E +0.486% K +0.735% G +0.011%1.42I 70.42% NM 67.51%EV -6.83% E -4.81% K -16.25% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 09:51
Caesars2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -10.60% E -4.08% K -6.63% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -2.89% E -1.95% K -6.02% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth