The School of Odds

Cleveland Browns v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 34.12%2.93fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.97%34.12%34.12%36.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.803.0038%36%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 65.88%1.52fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.88%65.88%68.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.441.4871%69%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +2.37%E +0.790%K +1.19%G +0.028%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -7.11%E -5.05%K -17.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.28%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.50%E -1.69%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.