Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

30%

70%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd

EV +0.554%

Edge +0.165%

Kelly +0.236%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.57%30.02%30.02%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.053.183.153.3532.79%31.47%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 69.98%1.43fair odd

EV -2.02%

Edge -1.44%

Kelly -5.06%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.54%69.98%69.98%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.311.351.361.4076.34%73.86%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 30.02%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 69.98%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.35, producing a positive expected value of +0.554%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV +0.554%E +0.165%K +0.236%G +0.001%	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -6.22%E -4.64%K -18.30%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-15 22:38
betfred_uk🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.95%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.82%E -3.55%K -13.39%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-12 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.45%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.82%E -3.55%K -13.39%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-02 16:50
NordicBet🎯	3.14I 31.85%NM 29.44%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.69%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 70.56%EV -8.32%E -6.35%K -26.84%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-29 12:50
DraftKings🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -8.45%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.02%E -1.44%K -5.06%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-13 15:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket◎	1.54I 64.94%NM 43.38%	1.18I 84.75%NM 56.62%	49.7%	2026-09-13 15:05