Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens

2026-10-18 17:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.475%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.52%29.52%30.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.253.253.3531.75%30.77%30.77%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 70.48%1.42fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -7.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.54%70.48%70.48%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3874.63%73.53%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 29.52%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 70.48%. For Cleveland Browns (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.35, with an expected value of -1.12%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.12%E -0.333%K -0.475%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 22:38
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.73%E -1.98%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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