Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns v Atlanta Falcons

2026-12-13 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

51%

49%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Browns (Local)

Prediction 50.62%1.98fair odd

EV -1.28%

Edge -0.659%

Kelly -1.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.00%50.62%50.62%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.881.881.9555.56%53.33%53.33%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 49.38%2.03fair odd

EV +1.22%

Edge +0.596%

Kelly +1.16%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.75%49.38%49.38%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.921.922.0555.56%51.95%51.95%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cleveland Browns (Local): 50.62%; Atlanta Falcons (Visit): 49.38%. For Atlanta Falcons (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.05, producing a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.88%E -4.93%K -11.10%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +1.22%E +0.596%K +1.16%G +0.014%	4.3%	2026-08-06 22:10
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.28%E -0.659%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.