The School of Odds

Cincinnati Bengals v Pittsburgh Steelers

2026-11-16 01:20 UTC — NFL

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 64.65%1.55fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.11%64.65%64.65%66.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.431.481.481.5270%68%68%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Steelers (Visit)

Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.365%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.35%35.35%36.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.702.8038%37%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -1.73%E -1.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -8.09%E -3.11%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 00:45
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.55%E -5.28%K -17.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.02%E -0.365%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.