The School of Odds

Cincinnati Bengals v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-12-13 21:25 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 50.80%1.97fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%50.80%50.80%51.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.831.861.861.8955%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 49.20%2.03fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.20%49.20%49.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.921.921.9352%52%52%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.99%E -2.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.04%E -2.61%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.04%E -3.85%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.02%E -3.15%K -6.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.