The School of Odds

Cincinnati Bengals v Cleveland Browns

2027-01-10 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cincinnati Bengals (Local)

Prediction 74.80%1.34fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -15.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.80%74.80%74.80%74.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.281.281.2878%78%78%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%25.20%25.20%25.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.803.803.803.8026%26%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-21 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.