Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-09 01:20 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Bears (Local)

Odds

1.5066.67%Min

1.5166.23%Mean

1.5166.23%Median

1.5265.79%Max

Consensus probabilities

63.11%1.585Min

63.41%1.577Max

63.26%1.581Mean

63.26%1.581Median

63.26%1.581IQM

63.25%1.581Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.52 under the IQM model: 63.26%

EV -3.84%Edge -2.53%Kelly -7.39%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Odds

2.6038.46%Min

2.6038.46%Mean

2.6038.46%Median

2.6038.46%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.59%2.733Min

36.89%2.711Max

36.74%2.722Mean

36.74%2.722Median

36.74%2.722IQM

36.75%2.721Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 36.74%

EV -4.48%Edge -1.72%Kelly -2.80%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Chicago Bears (Local) ▼	Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.52I 65.79% NM 63.11%EV -3.84% E -2.53% K -7.39% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.89%EV -4.48% E -1.72% K -2.80% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 00:40
Caesars	1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -5.11% E -3.41% K -10.22% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -4.48% E -1.72% K -2.80% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth