Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-11-09 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

63%

37%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 63.26%1.58fair odd

EV -3.84%

Edge -2.53%

Kelly -7.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.11%63.26%63.26%63.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.501.511.511.5267%66%66%66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 36.74%2.72fair odd

EV -4.48%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -2.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.59%36.74%36.74%36.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.602.602.602.6038%38%38%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 00:40
Caesars	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.