Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears v Philadelphia Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-29 00:16 UTC

Final: Chicago Bears 27–7 Philadelphia Eagles

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 36.73%2.72fair odd
EV +0.260%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.25%36.90%36.71%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.602.602.7342.02%38.48%38.46%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 63.27%1.58fair odd
EV +0.607%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.15%63.10%63.29%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.501.501.5974.07%66.50%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Bears (Local): 36.73%; Philadelphia Eagles (Visit): 63.27%. For Philadelphia Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.607%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV +0.607%E +0.382%K +1.03%G +0.006%4.6%2026-09-29 00:14
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -1.29%E -0.828%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-29 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.15%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-29 00:14
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-29 00:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 00:15
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.72%E -2.64%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 00:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.56%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 00:15
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.260%E +0.095%K +0.150%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-28 22:45
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-28 19:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-28 23:14
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-28 23:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 23:23
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 00:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 00:15
TAB🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-28 23:59
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 00:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 21:29
Caesars🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.58%E -0.588%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-28 19:35
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-28 21:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-28 21:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-29 00:13
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.46%E -2.95%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 00:00
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-29 00:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-28 21:29
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-28 21:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-28 21:30
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-28 21:30
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-28 21:30
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 00:14
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 00:14
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 20:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 00:15
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 00:15
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 20:55
SportsBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.25%E -2.03%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-28 23:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 00:15
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.02%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 00:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 21:35
betfred_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 19:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 00:14
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 00:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 00:15
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.842%E -0.312%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-29 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 01:10
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.99%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-29 00:15
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-28 21:23
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.51%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-28 21:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.52%EV -7.45%E -2.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.48%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-28 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.19%E -3.27%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.25%E -5.69%K -18.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-28 23:48
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.19%EV -12.59%E -5.29%K -9.13%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 63.81%EV -14.58%E -10.80%K -41.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-28 21:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-29 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-29 00:05
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-29 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-29 00:15
ProphetX◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%0.7%2026-09-29 00:15
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-28 20:50
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-28 21:50
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-29 00:15
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-09-29 00:10
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%4.7%2026-09-29 00:00