The School of Odds

Chicago Bears v Philadelphia Eagles

2026-09-29 00:15 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 52.44%1.91fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%52.44%52.44%53.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.761.811.811.8557%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Philadelphia Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 47.56%2.10fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -2.44%
Kelly -4.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.81%47.56%47.56%48.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.981.991.992.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.98%E -1.61%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.84%E -2.95%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 11:15
Caesars1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -7.70%E -4.37%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.89%E -2.44%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.