The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Chicago Bears v New Orleans Saints

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 70.01%1.43fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -8.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.54%70.01%70.01%70.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.361.361.3874.63%73.53%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 29.99%3.33fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%29.99%29.99%30.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.173.173.2031.75%31.50%31.50%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 70.01%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 29.99%. For Chicago Bears (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.38, with an expected value of -3.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.39%E -2.45%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.53%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 22:35
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.19%E -4.62%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.03%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 09:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.