Chicago Bears v New Orleans Saints

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

70%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 70.49%1.42fair odd

EV -4.13%

Edge -3.04%

Kelly -11.48%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

70.48%70.49%70.49%70.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.341.351.351.3675%74%74%74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd

EV -4.10%

Edge -1.26%

Kelly -1.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.50%29.51%29.51%29.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.203.233.233.2531%31%31%31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.13%E -3.04%K -11.48%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.10%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-05-15 01:04
Caesars	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.54%E -4.14%K -16.30%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.74%K -2.53%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-26 09:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.