Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 59.42%1.68fair odd

EV -1.96%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -3.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%59.42%59.42%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.601.601.6564.10%62.31%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd

EV -2.60%

Edge -1.08%

Kelly -1.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%40.58%40.58%41.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.302.352.352.4043.48%42.55%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 59.42%; Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit): 40.58%. For Chicago Bears (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.65, with an expected value of -1.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.96%E -1.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.66%E -2.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 17:44
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.31%E -4.69%K -13.05%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.60%E -1.08%K -1.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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