The School of Odds

Chicago Bears v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 58.42%1.71fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.402%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%58.42%58.25%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.7064%61%62%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

Prediction 41.58%2.41fair odd
EV -0.211%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.151%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%41.58%41.75%43.59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.262.4045%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -0.684%E -0.402%K -0.977%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -8.53%E -3.88%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 13:08
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -5.36%E -3.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -6.03%E -2.67%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 13:10
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.86%E -5.68%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -0.211%E -0.088%K -0.151%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.