The School of Odds

Chicago Bears v Jacksonville Jaguars

2026-12-06 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Bears (Local)

1.5664.10%Min
1.6560.61%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7457.47%Max
55.15%1.813Min
60.61%1.650Max
57.88%1.728Mean
57.88%1.728Median
57.88%1.728IQM
57.52%1.738Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 57.88%

EV +0.712%Edge +0.409%Kelly +0.962%Growth +0.007%

Option 2: Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)

2.1446.73%Min
2.2744.05%Mean
2.2744.05%Median
2.4041.67%Max
39.39%2.538Min
44.85%2.230Max
42.12%2.374Mean
42.12%2.374Median
42.12%2.374IQM
42.48%2.354Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 42.12%

EV +1.09%Edge +0.453%Kelly +0.777%Growth +0.008%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChicago Bears (Local)Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -9.71% E -6.22% K -17.33% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV +1.09% E +0.453% K +0.777% G +0.008%5.8%2026-06-22 22:48
DraftKings1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV +0.712% E +0.409% K +0.962% G +0.007%2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -9.86% E -4.61% K -8.65% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Arbitrage (1 combination)+0.87%DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%) / Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)Show details
Chicago Bears (Local)Jacksonville Jaguars (Visit)Margin
DraftKings 1.74 (58.0%)Caesars 2.40 (42.0%)+0.870%