The School of Odds

Chicago Bears v Green Bay Packers

2026-12-25 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Chicago Bears (Local)

1.8354.64%Min
1.8653.69%Mean
1.8653.62%Median
1.8952.91%Max
50.91%1.964Min
51.70%1.934Max
51.30%1.949Mean
51.30%1.949Median
51.30%1.949IQM
51.28%1.950Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.89 under the IQM model: 51.30%

EV -3.04%Edge -1.61%Kelly -3.41%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Green Bay Packers (Visit)

1.9152.36%Min
1.9551.22%Mean
1.9651.02%Median
1.9850.51%Max
48.30%2.070Min
49.09%2.037Max
48.70%2.054Mean
48.70%2.054Median
48.70%2.054IQM
48.72%2.053Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.98 under the IQM model: 48.70%

EV -3.58%Edge -1.81%Kelly -3.65%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChicago Bears (Local) ▼Green Bay Packers (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.89I 52.91% NM 50.91%EV -3.04% E -1.61% K -3.41% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 49.09%EV -4.55% E -2.32% K -4.74% G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 00:05
SportsBet1.88I 53.19% NM 51.04%EV -3.55% E -1.89% K -4.03% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.96%EV -4.55% E -2.32% K -4.74% G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 00:04
DraftKings1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -5.09% E -2.75% K -5.99% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -3.58% E -1.81% K -3.65% G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 00:04
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.12% E -3.34% K -7.37% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.99% E -3.66% K -7.68% G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 00:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth