Chicago Bears v Green Bay Packers

2026-12-25 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.97%1.92fair odd

EV -2.82%

Edge -1.51%

Kelly -3.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.05%51.87%51.97%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.801.841.851.8756%54%54%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd

EV -3.93%

Edge -1.97%

Kelly -3.93%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.37%48.13%48.03%48.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.921.981.992.0052%51%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.82%E -1.51%K -3.24%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-20 23:40
SportsBet	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-20 23:44
FanDuel	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-20 23:45
Coral	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-20 23:44
BetMGM	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.85%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 23:45
Neds	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.86%E -2.09%K -4.54%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.85%E -2.99%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 23:45
DraftKings	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 23:45
theScore Bet	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-20 23:45
Unibet (UK)	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.90%E -2.68%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.89%E -2.47%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-20 23:45
Paddy Power	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.93%E -1.97%K -3.93%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-20 23:45
Betclic (FR)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.33%E -3.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-20 23:44
LeoVegas	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.46%E -3.59%K -8.08%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.78%E -4.05%K -8.45%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-20 23:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%	8.3%	2026-07-20 23:45