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Chicago Bears v Green Bay Packers

2026-12-25 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.90%1.93fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.81%51.96%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8755.56%54.64%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Green Bay Packers (Visit)

Prediction 48.10%2.08fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.19%48.04%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.921.981.982.0052.08%50.61%50.51%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 51.90%; Green Bay Packers (Visit): 48.10%. For Chicago Bears (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -2.94%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.98%E -2.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 04:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -4.50%E -2.44%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 19:03
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-20 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 23:45
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.02%E -2.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.77%E -2.41%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 10:14
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.81%E -1.90%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 23:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.21%E -3.19%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 23:44
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.57%E -3.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.65%E -3.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-06 22:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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