Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears v Detroit Lions

2027-01-03 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd

EV -5.14%

Edge -2.81%

Kelly -6.19%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.07%51.84%51.84%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.821.831.831.8354.95%54.79%54.79%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd

EV -2.71%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -2.66%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.40%48.16%48.16%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.911.961.962.0252.36%50.89%50.89%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Bears (Local): 51.84%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 48.16%. For Detroit Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.02, with an expected value of -2.71%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-21 08:44
DraftKings🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-04 16:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.