Chicago Bears v Detroit Lions

2027-01-03 21:25 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

52%

48%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chicago Bears (Local)

Prediction 51.84%1.93fair odd

EV -5.13%

Edge -2.80%

Kelly -6.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.07%51.84%51.85%52.60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.821.821.821.8355%55%55%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd

EV -2.72%

Edge -1.35%

Kelly -2.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.40%48.16%48.15%48.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.911.961.962.0252%51%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.13%E -2.80%K -6.18%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.02%E -4.20%K -8.81%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-21 08:44
DraftKings	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.72%E -1.35%K -2.67%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-21 08:39
Coolbet	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.65%E -3.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.61%E -2.86%K -5.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-21 08:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.