The School of Odds
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Carolina Panthers v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:02 UTC

Final: Carolina Panthers 13–43 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 59.03%1.69fair odd
EV -0.822%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.25%59.01%58.99%60.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.621.6866.67%61.82%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV -0.454%
Edge -0.187%
Kelly -0.317%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%40.99%41.01%42.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.322.312.4349.50%43.17%43.29%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Panthers (Local): 59.03%; Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit): 40.97%. For Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.454%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.822%E -0.489%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.822%E -0.489%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 19:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.822%E -0.489%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 19:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -0.822%E -0.489%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -0.822%E -0.489%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-23 14:43
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.41%E -0.846%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -0.864%E -0.357%K -0.608%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-25 16:33
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.59%E -1.57%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-25 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%EV -0.864%E -0.357%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-25 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-25 14:45
Caesars🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.14%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.14%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.14%E -1.77%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 15:12
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.77%E -2.32%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 16:56
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-25 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 17:00
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-25 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 15:11
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 16:14
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 17:00
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 17:00
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 23:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 16:35
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 14:36
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 16:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.36%E -2.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.454%E -0.187%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.454%E -0.187%K -0.317%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 17:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 15:01
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.95%E -3.08%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-25 12:04
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 13:45
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-25 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 17:00
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 17:00
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 16:33
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.54%E -3.47%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-25 16:56
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -5.37%E -2.32%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:00
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.73%E -4.26%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.68%E -0.701%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-25 15:57
picklebet_au🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.73%E -4.26%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-25 16:06
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.73%E -1.59%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 15:11
NetBet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.42%EV -9.06%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-25 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-25 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.50%E -5.48%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.39%EV -11.45%E -7.63%K -22.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.61%EV -17.25%E -8.54%K -16.91%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-23 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-10-25 16:57
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-10-25 17:00
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-10-25 17:00
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-25 17:00
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86%0.8%2026-10-25 16:59
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-25 12:25
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-10-25 17:00
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-10-25 17:00