The School of Odds

Carolina Panthers v Tampa Bay Buccaneers

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 48.15%2.08fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.15%48.15%48.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.961.961.9851%51%51%51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Visit)

Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -4.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.70%51.85%51.85%52.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.831.831.8556%55%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.66%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 22:49
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.