Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers v Detroit Lions

2026-10-05 00:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd

EV -3.88%

Edge -1.62%

Kelly -2.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%40.05%40.05%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.362.392.402.4042.37%41.90%41.67%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -4.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.30%59.95%59.95%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.561.581.571.6264.10%63.16%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Panthers (Local): 40.05%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 59.95%. For Detroit Lions (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.62, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betr (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.88%E -3.74%K -10.31%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 00:45
Caesars🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 22:35
DraftKings🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-04 20:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.