Language:English
Carolina Panthers v Detroit Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Panthers (Local)
Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV +2.34%
Edge +0.781%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.40%34.05%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.782.803.0040.00%35.95%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Lions (Visit)
Prediction 65.89%1.52fair odd
EV +0.147%
Edge +0.096%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.60%65.95%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.451.441.5276.92%69.15%69.44%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Panthers (Local): 34.11%; Detroit Lions (Visit): 65.89%. For Carolina Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%EV +2.34%E +0.781%K +1.17%G +0.027% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%EV -3.81%E -2.61%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.637%E +0.216%K +0.326%G +0.002% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV +0.295%E +0.100%K +0.152%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -0.387%E -0.132%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.07%E -0.369%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.41%E -0.488%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -1.41%E -0.488%K -0.746%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.75%E -0.608%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.15%E -2.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.15%E -2.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.15%E -2.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.15%E -2.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 23:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.77%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -3.12%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -3.46%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.78%E -4.04%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.44%E -4.54%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -5.50%E -1.99%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.49%E -1.68%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 00:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.15%E -2.14%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.19%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.12%E -3.56%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 00:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.76%E -5.54%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 00:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.49%E -1.68%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.66%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.34%EV -8.42%E -6.06%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +0.147%E +0.096%K +0.282%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.49%E -1.68%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -13.01%E -5.10%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.17%E -0.781%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.71%E -5.89%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.47%E -3.08%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 23:52 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%EV -14.71%E -5.89%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 65.79%EV -14.35%E -11.04%K -47.83%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-10-04 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 00:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 00:15 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.56% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.44% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 00:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75% | 1.4% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |