The School of Odds

Carolina Panthers v Denver Broncos

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.39fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.772%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%41.93%41.93%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.282.3645%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -4.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.07%58.07%59.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.651.651.6762%61%61%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.05%E -0.445%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.