Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers v Denver Broncos

2026-11-08 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 41.93%2.39fair odd

EV -1.05%

Edge -0.445%

Kelly -0.772%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.70%41.93%41.93%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.282.282.3645.45%43.86%43.86%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Denver Broncos (Visit)

Prediction 58.07%1.72fair odd

EV -3.02%

Edge -1.81%

Kelly -4.51%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.85%58.07%58.07%59.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.621.651.651.6761.73%60.79%60.79%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Panthers (Local): 41.93%; Denver Broncos (Visit): 58.07%. For Carolina Panthers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.36, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.05%E -0.445%K -0.772%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.92%E -3.66%K -9.55%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-07 03:35
Caesars🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.76%E -3.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.02%E -1.81%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-22 22:48

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.