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Carolina Panthers v Cincinnati Bengals

2026-12-20 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 40.64%2.46fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.640%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.64%40.64%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.372.372.5044.64%42.19%42.19%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)

Prediction 59.36%1.68fair odd
EV -0.276%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.406%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.36%59.36%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.73%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Panthers (Local): 40.64%; Cincinnati Bengals (Visit): 59.36%. For Carolina Panthers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +1.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.60%E +0.640%K +1.07%G +0.017%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.40%E -4.74%K -13.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -8.97%E -4.00%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -0.276%E -0.164%K -0.406%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.48%Caesars 2.50 (40.2%) / DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%)Show details
Carolina Panthers (Local)Cincinnati Bengals (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 2.50 (40.2%)DraftKings🎯 1.68 (59.8%)+0.478%

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