Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers v Baltimore Ravens

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Panthers (Local)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%35.84%35.84%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.652.652.7038.46%37.74%37.74%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Ravens (Visit)

Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -8.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.88%64.16%64.16%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.481.481.4968.03%67.57%67.57%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Panthers (Local): 35.84%; Baltimore Ravens (Visit): 64.16%. For Carolina Panthers (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -3.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.23%E -1.20%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.40%E -2.95%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-13 15:49
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.82%E -2.62%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.68%E -3.87%K -12.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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