Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 83.23%1.20fair odd

EV -2.62%

Edge -2.24%

Kelly -15.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.19%83.23%83.23%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.121.151.151.1789.29%87.34%87.34%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd

EV +0.616%

Edge +0.103%

Kelly +0.123%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.73%16.77%16.77%17.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.405.705.706.0018.52%17.54%17.54%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Buffalo Bills (Local): 83.23%; Miami Dolphins (Visit): 16.77%. For Miami Dolphins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.616%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.78%E -6.05%K -56.51%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.616%E +0.103%K +0.123%G +0.001%	6.0%	2026-06-22 22:37
DraftKings🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.62%E -2.24%K -15.41%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -9.45%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-14 17:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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