The School of Odds

Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins

2026-11-22 18:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Buffalo Bills (Local)

1.1289.29%Min
1.1487.72%Mean
1.1487.72%Median
1.1686.21%Max
82.71%1.209Min
84.27%1.187Max
83.49%1.198Mean
83.49%1.198Median
83.49%1.198IQM
83.38%1.199Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.16 under the IQM model: 83.49%

EV -3.15%Edge -2.72%Kelly -19.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Dolphins (Visit)

5.5518.02%Min
5.7817.32%Mean
5.7817.32%Median
6.0016.67%Max
15.73%6.357Min
17.29%5.784Max
16.51%6.057Mean
16.51%6.057Median
16.51%6.057IQM
16.62%6.017Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.00 under the IQM model: 16.51%

EV -0.946%Edge -0.158%Kelly -0.189%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBuffalo Bills (Local) ▼Miami Dolphins (Visit)MarginUpdated
DraftKings1.16I 86.21% NM 82.71%EV -3.15% E -2.72% K -19.69% G +0.000%5.55I 18.02% NM 17.29%EV -8.38% E -1.51% K -1.84% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars1.12I 89.29% NM 84.27%EV -6.49% E -5.79% K -54.08% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.73%EV -0.946% E -0.158% K -0.189% G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 22:37
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth