Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins

2026-11-22 18:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

83%

17%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 83.49%1.20fair odd

EV -3.15%

Edge -2.72%

Kelly -19.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

82.71%83.49%83.49%84.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.121.141.141.1689%88%88%86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Miami Dolphins (Visit)

Prediction 16.51%6.06fair odd

EV -0.946%

Edge -0.158%

Kelly -0.189%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.73%16.51%16.51%17.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

5.555.785.786.0018%17%17%17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.15%E -2.72%K -19.69%G +0.000%	5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.38%E -1.51%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-22 22:39
Caesars	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.49%E -5.79%K -54.08%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.946%E -0.158%K -0.189%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-22 22:37

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.