Buffalo Bills v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-09-27 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

60%

40%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 59.95%1.67fair odd

EV -2.88%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -4.64%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.30%59.95%59.95%60.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.561.591.591.6264%63%63%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Prediction 40.05%2.50fair odd

EV -3.88%

Edge -1.62%

Kelly -2.77%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.39%40.05%40.05%40.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.362.382.382.4042%42%42%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.88%E -1.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.49%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-21 08:49
Caesars	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.48%E -4.15%K -11.56%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.88%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 20:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.