Buffalo Bills v Los Angeles Chargers

2026-09-27 17:00 — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Buffalo Bills (Local)

Odds

1.5664.10%Min

1.6361.35%Mean

1.6361.35%Median

1.7058.82%Max

Consensus probabilities

56.41%1.773Min

60.61%1.650Max

58.51%1.709Mean

58.51%1.709Median

58.51%1.709IQM

58.25%1.717Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.70 under the IQM model: 58.51%

EV -0.536%Edge -0.315%Kelly -0.766%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3043.48%Mean

2.3043.48%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.39%2.538Min

43.59%2.294Max

41.49%2.410Mean

41.49%2.410Median

41.49%2.410IQM

41.75%2.395Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 41.49%

EV -0.420%Edge -0.175%Kelly -0.300%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Buffalo Bills (Local) ▼	Los Angeles Chargers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -0.536% E -0.315% K -0.766% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -8.72% E -3.96% K -7.26% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-30 09:59
Caesars	1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -8.73% E -5.59% K -15.58% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -0.420% E -0.175% K -0.300% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 20:44

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth