The School of Odds

Buffalo Bills v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-11-27 01:20 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 57.54%1.74fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.06%57.40%61.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.671.6864%60%60%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Prediction 42.46%2.35fair odd
EV +6.16%
Edge +2.46%
Kelly +4.11%
Growth +0.253%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%41.94%42.60%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.182.252.252.5046%44%45%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -10.24%E -6.57%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +6.16%E +2.46%K +4.11%G +0.253%4.1%2026-06-22 22:37
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.46%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 23:40
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.34%E -1.99%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.88%E -2.18%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 23:34
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.49%E -2.70%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.31%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.91%E -2.34%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.58%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 23:39
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -6.79%E -4.19%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -7.43%E -3.41%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%8.0%2026-07-20 23:40
Arbitrage (10 combinations) +0.48%DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%) / Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)Show all 10 combinations
Buffalo Bills (Local)Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)Margin
FanDuel 1.68 (59.8%)Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
DraftKings 1.68 (59.8%)Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
theScore Bet 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Coral 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
BetMGM 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK) 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Unibet (UK) 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Paddy Power 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (AU) 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Neds 1.67 (60.0%)Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%