Buffalo Bills v Kansas City Chiefs

2026-11-27 01:20 — NFL

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Buffalo Bills (Local)

Odds

1.5664.10%Min

1.6760.05%Mean

1.6759.88%Median

1.7457.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.15%1.813Min

61.58%1.624Max

57.55%1.738Mean

57.36%1.743Median

57.22%1.748IQM

57.64%1.735Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.74 under the IQM model: 57.22%

EV -0.430%Edge -0.247%Kelly -0.582%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)

Odds

2.1446.73%Min

2.2444.63%Mean

2.2344.84%Median

2.5040.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

38.42%2.603Min

44.85%2.230Max

42.45%2.356Mean

42.64%2.345Median

42.78%2.338IQM

42.36%2.361Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 42.78%

EV +6.94%Edge +2.78%Kelly +4.63%Growth +0.321%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Buffalo Bills (Local)	Kansas City Chiefs (Visit) ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars	1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -10.73% E -6.88% K -19.16% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV +6.94% E +2.78% K +4.63% G +0.321%	4.1%	2026-06-22 22:37
theScore Bet	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -1.61% E -0.702% K -1.24% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel	1.68I 59.52% NM 57.36%EV -3.86% E -2.30% K -5.68% G +0.000%	2.26I 44.25% NM 42.64%EV -3.33% E -1.47% K -2.64% G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-22 22:40
Coral	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.75% E -1.67% K -3.00% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:39
BetMGM	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.75% E -1.67% K -3.00% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.75% E -1.67% K -3.00% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-22 22:40
SportsBet	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -5.01% E -3.02% K -7.59% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -4.61% E -2.07% K -3.75% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-22 22:39
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.89% E -2.68% K -4.91% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-22 22:36
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.89% E -2.68% K -4.91% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-22 22:39
Neds	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.89% E -2.68% K -4.91% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-22 22:40
Unibet (UK)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.44% E -2.66% K -6.62% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.89% E -2.68% K -4.91% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-30 09:59
Betclic (FR)	1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -5.58% E -3.38% K -8.59% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -8.03% E -3.74% K -6.98% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-22 22:38
DraftKings	1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -0.430% E -0.247% K -0.582% G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -8.46% E -3.95% K -7.42% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-05-14 23:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Buffalo Bills (Local)	Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.64I 60.98%	2.12I 47.17%	8.1%	2026-06-22 22:39

Arbitrage (10 combinations)+2.59%DraftKings 1.74 (59.0%) / Caesars 2.50 (41.0%)Show all 10 combinations

Buffalo Bills (Local)	Kansas City Chiefs (Visit)	Margin
DraftKings 1.74 (59.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (41.0%)	+2.59%
FanDuel 1.68 (59.8%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.2%)	+0.478%
theScore Bet 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Coral 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
BetMGM 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Ladbrokes (UK) 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Paddy Power 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Ladbrokes (AU) 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Neds 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%
Unibet (UK) 1.67 (60.0%)	Caesars 2.50 (40.0%)	+0.120%