Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills v Chicago Bears

2026-12-20 01:20 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Buffalo Bills (Local)

Prediction 62.83%1.59fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.25%62.83%62.83%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.521.5466.67%65.79%65.79%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Bears (Visit)

Prediction 37.17%2.69fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.17%37.17%37.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.542.572.572.6039.37%38.91%38.91%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.23%E -2.10%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.60%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.75%E -3.83%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.37%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 04:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.