The School of Odds

Baltimore Ravens v Tennessee Titans

2026-10-04 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 77.41%1.29fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.23%
Kelly -16.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.21%77.41%77.41%77.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.241.241.2481%81%81%81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tennessee Titans (Visit)

Prediction 22.59%4.43fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.667%
Kelly -0.870%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%22.59%22.59%22.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.254.254.3024%24%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.01%E -3.23%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -2.87%E -0.667%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 21:45
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.01%E -3.23%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -5.13%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.