Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 6.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 84.39%; Tennessee Titans (Visit): 15.61%. For Tennessee Titans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.41. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.46%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.54%EV +4.56%E +0.681%K +0.801%G +0.037% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.26%EV -2.95%E -2.56%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.74%EV +3.78%E +0.569%K +0.670%G +0.025% | 2.0% | 2026-10-04 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.32%E -5.70%K -57.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.32%E -5.70%K -57.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.32%E -5.70%K -57.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.32%E -5.70%K -57.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.67%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +1.44%E +0.222%K +0.262%G +0.004% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.05%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.95%EV +0.350%E +0.054%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -0.119%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -0.119%E -0.019%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.79%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.21%EV -1.68%E -0.267%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 02:58 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -2.46%E -0.394%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -5.58%E -0.922%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 15:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 03:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.32%E -5.70%K -57.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -6.36%E -1.06%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -9.48%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -8.85%E -8.20%K -110.69%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -9.48%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -4.64%E -4.10%K -35.66%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -11.04%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.48%E -4.89%K -45.66%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -12.60%E -2.25%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.69%EV -1.26%E -1.08%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.31%EV -12.76%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.95%E -2.56%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.16%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.95%E -2.56%K -19.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.16%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.79%E -3.33%K -27.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.16%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -7.17%E -6.52%K -71.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.16%E -2.58%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 16:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -2.10%E -1.81%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -17.29%E -3.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 16:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 83.47%EV -13.07%E -12.69%K -435.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.53%EV -18.85%E -3.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-10-04 12:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -2.10%E -1.81%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.68%EV -21.19%E -4.20%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.26%E -1.08%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -21.97%E -4.39%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 85.08% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.92% | 0.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.09% | 7.12I 14.04%NM 13.91% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.54% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-30 12:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.35% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.65% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |