The School of Odds

Baltimore Ravens v New Orleans Saints

2026-09-20 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 74.88%1.34fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -3.25%
Kelly -14.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.49%74.88%74.80%75.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.241.261.261.2881%79%79%78%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.12%25.20%25.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.623.743.803.8528%27%26%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-23 20:14
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 17:29
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.65%E -4.49%K -21.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.28%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 01:23
NordicBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -7.15%E -5.77%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -9.05%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 00:59
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 74.49%EV -7.15%E -5.77%K -29.80%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.51%EV -9.05%E -2.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.