Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens v New Orleans Saints

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:02 UTC

Final: Baltimore Ravens 17–24 New Orleans Saints

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 76.79%1.30fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.71%76.76%78.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.241.241.2790.09%80.90%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 23.21%4.31fair odd
EV +5.60%
Edge +1.23%
Kelly +1.58%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.43%23.29%23.24%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.144.204.5527.03%24.15%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 76.79%; New Orleans Saints (Visit): 23.21%. For New Orleans Saints (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%EV +5.60%E +1.23%K +1.58%G +0.088%2.0%2026-09-20 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.12%E +0.481%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.4%2026-09-20 15:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.12%E +0.481%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.4%2026-09-20 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.12%E +0.481%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.4%2026-09-20 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +2.12%E +0.481%K +0.623%G +0.013%3.4%2026-09-20 15:59
Fliff🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.85%E -6.54%K -39.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +2.12%E +0.481%K +0.623%G +0.013%6.1%2026-09-20 15:29
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +0.492%E +0.114%K +0.148%G +0.001%5.1%2026-09-20 14:34
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-20 15:55
Everygame🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 23:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:19
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:24
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:24
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:19
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 16:19
BetAnything🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 11:10
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -0.204%E -0.047%K -0.062%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 15:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -0.900%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.50%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.50%EV -0.900%E -0.211%K -0.275%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 07:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.36%E -0.321%K -0.420%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 16:39
Caesars🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-16 22:05
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 16:04
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:14
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-20 16:49
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 16:14
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.53%E -0.601%K -0.789%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-16 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.88%EV -3.24%E -2.57%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 23.12%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-20 16:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -3.24%E -2.57%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 16:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 16:54
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 15:28
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 15:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.55%E -4.51%K -24.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -4.85%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 03:45
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -6.47%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV -6.47%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 16:24
Dabble (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.24%E -2.57%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 15:43
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 14:49
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:39
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:55
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 15:55
TAB🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.17%E -1.79%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.47%E -1.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 16:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.78%E -3.85%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.33%E -2.11%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.47%E -1.95%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -9.49%E -2.43%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 16:59
ReBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:59
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.81%E -3.11%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 16:54
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.01%E -3.21%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.97%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.16%EV -14.76%E -13.30%K -134.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.84%EV -12.97%E -3.46%K -4.72%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-20 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -6.31%E -5.18%K -28.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -14.13%E -3.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%0.5%2026-09-20 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-09-20 16:59
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-17 05:15
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-15 18:25
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOpenly1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-20 16:59
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%2.2%2026-09-20 16:55