Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens v Cleveland Browns

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 78.79%1.27fair odd

EV -2.30%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -9.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.62%78.79%78.79%79.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.191.211.211.2484.03%82.30%82.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 21.21%4.72fair odd

EV +0.739%

Edge +0.156%

Kelly +0.197%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.03%21.21%21.21%22.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.304.534.534.7523.26%22.10%22.10%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 78.79%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 21.21%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.739%.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Caesars🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.24%E -5.24%K -32.83%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.739%E +0.156%K +0.197%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-07-29 04:28
DraftKings🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.30%E -1.85%K -9.58%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.80%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-01 19:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.