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Baltimore Ravens v Cleveland Browns

2026-12-27 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Baltimore Ravens (Local)

Prediction 79.32%1.26fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -14.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.67%79.32%79.32%79.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.211.211.2284.03%82.99%82.99%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Browns (Visit)

Prediction 20.68%4.84fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%20.68%20.68%21.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.634.634.7522.22%21.62%21.62%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Baltimore Ravens (Local): 79.32%; Cleveland Browns (Visit): 20.68%. For Cleveland Browns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -1.76%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.23%E -2.65%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -6.93%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 13:59
Caesars🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -5.61%E -4.71%K -29.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.76%E -0.371%K -0.471%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 04:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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