The School of Odds

Atlanta Falcons v San Francisco 49ers

2026-10-25 17:00 UTC — NFL

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Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 34.19%2.92fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%34.19%34.19%34.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.802.802.8036%36%36%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Francisco 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 65.81%1.52fair odd
EV -3.92%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -8.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.73%65.81%65.81%65.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.451.461.461.4669%69%69%68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.92%E -2.69%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 13:07
Caesars2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.58%E -3.16%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.