Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons v New Orleans Saints

2027-01-03 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 54.62%1.83fair odd

EV -1.69%

Edge -0.937%

Kelly -2.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.25%54.62%54.62%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.691.751.751.8059.17%57.31%57.31%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Orleans Saints (Visit)

Prediction 45.38%2.20fair odd

EV -2.43%

Edge -1.13%

Kelly -2.11%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.01%45.38%45.38%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.102.102.1548.78%47.62%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.69%E -0.937%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.70%E -4.55%K -11.15%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.43%E -1.13%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.