Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons v Detroit Lions

2026-12-06 18:00 UTC — NFL

Head to Head

2 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Falcons (Local)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd

EV +2.38%

Edge +0.915%

Kelly +1.49%

Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.89%39.38%39.38%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.252.422.422.6044.44%41.24%41.24%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Lions (Visit)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd

EV -1.79%

Edge -1.11%

Kelly -2.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.14%60.62%60.62%63.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.69%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (2 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.38%E +0.915%K +1.49%G +0.035%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.85%E -5.17%K -15.10%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-29 04:29
Caesars	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.40%E -5.07%K -9.12%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.79%E -1.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-29 04:28

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.